CD Lugo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUG
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 2
HUE
20%
26%
55%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 2
VAD
18%
25%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
RSO
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RSO
63%
24%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 1
ZAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 2
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CAR
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
VAD
2 - 0
ZAR
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |