CD Lugo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 2
MAJ
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 1
LUG
64%
23%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
EXT
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 1
ZAR
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 0
OVI
42%
27%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MAJ
2 - 2
ZAR
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ZAR
0 - 2
MAL
34%
29%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |