CD Lugo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 1
LUG
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 1
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAD
35%
27%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
REU
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ALC
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CCF
1 - 2
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GRA
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAR
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |