CD Lugo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
4 - 3
OSA
24%
27%
48%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
REC
0 - 0
LUG
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 0
LEG
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ZAR
2 - 0
MLL
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 1
ZAR
20%
26%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALA
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SAB
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
ZAR
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |