CD Lugo vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
TUR
2 - 1
LUG
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDO
42%
27%
32%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +5 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
CAN
0 - 2
LUG
48%
27%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
LUG
1 - 3
ENS
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
LUG
1 - 1
COM
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
SPB
0 - 6
COM
26%
25%
50%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
LEM
6 - 0
SPB
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
SPB
2 - 0
PON
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
DEP
2 - 0
SPB
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
SPB
0 - 0
ROB
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |