CD Lugo vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GIM
3 - 0
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 0
VAD
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CCF
1 - 0
LUG
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
GRA
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OVI
0 - 1
ALC
54%
26%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CCF
1 - 1
OVI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OVI
2 - 1
GRA
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
CDT
3 - 1
OVI
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
OVI
0 - 0
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |