CD Lugo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
UPL
0 - 1
LUG
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
LUG
2 - 1
RIB
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
26%
27%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 3
RMC
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
PON
2 - 1
AVI
55%
23%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 1
AVI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 2
COR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |