CD Lugo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
PON
3 - 2
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LUG
0 - 1
CDO
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
AVI
0 - 0
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
CUL
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
MST
2 - 1
LUG
33%
27%
39%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AVI
1 - 1
SEG
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PON
0 - 2
AVI
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
AVI
0 - 0
FUE
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SSR
1 - 1
AVI
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
AVI
0 - 0
PPJ
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |