CD Lugo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIE
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
SMA
3 - 0
LUG
55%
25%
19%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
CAM
3 - 2
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
LUG
1 - 1
GIN
73%
18%
9%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
NOI
1 - 1
LUG
49%
28%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
AVI
0 - 0
ALO
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
SIE
1 - 1
AVI
52%
26%
22%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
LEN
1 - 2
AVI
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
AVI
4 - 1
SMA
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARO
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |