CD Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 2
HUE
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 0
LUG
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 2
UDL
33%
27%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
LUG
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 3
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 3
RAY
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 1
CDT
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
RAY
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 1
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |