CD Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
HUE
3 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 1
CUL
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 1
LUG
38%
27%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
OSA
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 2
LUG
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 1
ALC
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CCF
2 - 2
RAY
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 0
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 2
RAY
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 0
FCB
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |