CD Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 1
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAD
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
REU
2 - 1
LUG
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
GET
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 2
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 1
UCA
80%
15%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CDT
3 - 2
RAY
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 0
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 3
NUM
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RAY
1 - 1
GIM
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |