CD Lugo vs Pontevedra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
EXT
3 - 1
LUG
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ULP
3 - 1
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 0
COX
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
RMC
2 - 2
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pontevedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
PON
1 - 5
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEG
3 - 1
PON
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PON
3 - 0
ALC
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ATB
2 - 1
PON
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
UBC
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |