CD Lugo vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NUM
6 - 6
LUG
55%
26%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 1
BET
22%
24%
55%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
LUG
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDT
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PON
3 - 1
MLL
41%
26%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SMR
3 - 1
PON
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PON
2 - 1
ALA
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ZAR
4 - 1
PON
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PON
4 - 4
FCB
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |