CD Lugo vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PON
4 - 1
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 0
SPB
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
GER
2 - 1
LUG
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AUR
2 - 0
LUG
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
CDO
2 - 1
COM
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CUL
1 - 1
CDO
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
CDO
1 - 1
VAD
20%
30%
50%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 1
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CAU
2 - 3
CDO
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |