CD Lugo vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
31.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
PON
2 - 0
LUG
71%
21%
9%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
TRJ
1 - 0
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 0
SSC
43%
29%
28%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 0
LUG
80%
15%
6%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 2
UPL
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1979 |
CDO
1 - 1
SSC
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ATH
3 - 0
CDO
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
CDO
1 - 1
UPL
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDO
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CDO
1 - 0
HUE
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |