CD Lugo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OVI
3 - 2
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VAD
2 - 2
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 0
CCF
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALC
55%
26%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CCF
1 - 1
NUM
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
2 - 1
MAL
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 3
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 1
NUM
51%
27%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |