CD Lugo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 2
LUG
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 3
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GIR
3 - 1
LUG
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
RAY
22%
24%
54%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OVI
1 - 1
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALM
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 2
NUM
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 1
VAD
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
NUM
39%
29%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NUM
2 - 2
ELC
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |