CD Lugo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
LUG
32%
30%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
PON
34%
28%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
VAD
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MLL
1 - 1
LUG
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 3
OSA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 2
NUM
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 2
LEG
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 2
MIR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |