CD Lugo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 1
OVI
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 2
LUG
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 2
MLL
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
RCF
2 - 2
LUG
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 0
RMC
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 2
ATH
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ZAR
0 - 1
NUM
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
ACF
0 - 5
NUM
9%
18%
73%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 4
NUM
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |