CD Lugo vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
COM
1 - 0
LUG
59%
26%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDO
33%
33%
35%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
LUG
1 - 0
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
UPL
5 - 0
LUG
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
LUG
0 - 0
SPB
47%
29%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
NAV
2 - 1
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
UPL
0 - 1
NAV
79%
16%
5%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
NAV
0 - 0
SPB
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
ENS
0 - 0
NAV
83%
14%
3%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
NAV
2 - 1
BAS
19%
24%
58%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +4 |