CD Lugo vs Marín CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.8%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LUG
2 - 0
BUE
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
ATO
1 - 2
LUG
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
LUG
0 - 1
RCF
45%
22%
34%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
DEP
0 - 1
LUG
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
LUG
3 - 1
CEL
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marín CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
VIV
1 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 1
COX
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
ALO
4 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZEL
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
ACF
4 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |