CD Lugo vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 2
PON
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
DEP
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CUL
1 - 2
LUG
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
OVI
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 0
CCF
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAL
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 0
MLL
64%
23%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 1
MAL
86%
12%
2%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ANT
0 - 3
MAL
7%
18%
75%
|
83 | 36 | 47 | 0 |