CD Lugo vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
0 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 2
GET
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 2
RVB
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 1
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 5
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LEG
4 - 0
CEL
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 2
LEG
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LEG
0 - 1
ROD
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LEG
1 - 1
SSR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 3
LEG
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |