CD Lugo vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
GET
2 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
4 - 1
SSR
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
RCF
4 - 2
LUG
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAU
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
LEA
4 - 1
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
RCF
4 - 1
LEA
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
LEA
1 - 1
CAU
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
CDM
2 - 0
LEA
61%
22%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
LEA
0 - 0
ROB
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |