CD Lugo vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 1
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LUG
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 3
SPO
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PON
0 - 2
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
SPO
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CCF
4 - 2
HER
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |