CD Lugo vs Girona analysis

CD Lugo Girona
73 ELO 79
4.9% Tilt -16.8%
2150º General ELO ranking 52º
71º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
34.4%
CD Lugo
27.6%
Draw
38%
Girona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
CD Lugo
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38%
Win probability
Girona
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Lugo
-9%
-7%
Girona

ELO progression

CD Lugo
Girona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2016
CDT
Tenerife
1 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
43%
29%
28%
74 73 1 0
27 Mar. 2016
LUG
CD Lugo
2 - 1
Albacete
ALB
54%
24%
22%
73 69 4 +1
19 Mar. 2016
ALA
Deportivo Alavés
0 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
50%
27%
23%
72 72 0 +1
13 Mar. 2016
CCF
Córdoba CF
1 - 2
CD Lugo
LUG
51%
27%
22%
71 73 2 +1
05 Mar. 2016
LUG
CD Lugo
2 - 0
Osasuna
OSA
41%
27%
32%
71 76 5 0

Matches

Girona
Girona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2016
GIR
Girona
0 - 0
Osasuna
OSA
54%
24%
21%
79 75 4 0
27 Mar. 2016
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
0 - 3
Girona
GIR
45%
27%
29%
79 78 1 0
20 Mar. 2016
GIR
Girona
1 - 1
Leganés
LEG
50%
26%
25%
79 79 0 0
12 Mar. 2016
ALM
Almería
1 - 0
Girona
GIR
47%
26%
28%
78 76 2 +1
05 Mar. 2016
GIR
Girona
2 - 0
Mirandés
MIR
49%
25%
26%
79 78 1 -1