CD Lugo vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
TUR
1 - 1
LUG
56%
26%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
LUG
1 - 0
SPB
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
LEM
1 - 2
LUG
45%
31%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
LUG
2 - 0
RCF
47%
29%
25%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
ATH
3 - 1
LUG
66%
22%
12%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
GER
1 - 1
PON
26%
30%
44%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
TUR
3 - 1
GER
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
GER
1 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
SPB
0 - 1
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
GER
1 - 0
GRA
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |