CD Lugo vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
SEV
1 - 1
LUG
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
CCF
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 3
GIM
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ELC
1 - 1
UCA
64%
24%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 0
ELC
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIR
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 1
ELC
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
OVI
2 - 1
ELC
32%
29%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |