CD Lugo vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 1
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SIE
1 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
4 - 0
SMA
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ENS
2 - 0
LUG
67%
23%
11%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 1
CFP
33%
32%
35%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
DEP
2 - 1
SIE
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 0
CAM
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SMA
3 - 2
DEP
53%
26%
20%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
DEP
0 - 1
CAM
62%
24%
14%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 0
PON
49%
27%
24%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |