CD Lugo vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
LEM
0 - 0
LUG
49%
28%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
LUG
0 - 1
VIS
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
COM
1 - 0
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
CLU
0 - 0
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
LUG
1 - 0
ARO
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1980 |
CHO
2 - 1
CDO
35%
28%
37%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
CEL
1 - 2
CHO
76%
18%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
CHO
1 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
ALO
1 - 0
CHO
82%
14%
5%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
CHO
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |