CD Lugo vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
ALO
3 - 1
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
LUG
3 - 0
COX
91%
7%
2%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
RCF
1 - 0
LUG
82%
12%
7%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
LUG
0 - 2
DEP
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
ATO
0 - 3
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 0
LEM
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
ARO
1 - 0
CHO
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
CHO
4 - 1
ASP
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ACF
1 - 1
CHO
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
CHO
7 - 2
FOZ
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |