CD Lugo vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
BUE
1 - 4
LUG
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
LUG
1 - 0
FOZ
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
GRA
1 - 0
LUG
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
LUG
2 - 1
COM
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
RCF
2 - 0
LUG
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
2 - 0
ACF
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ARO
2 - 0
CHO
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
4 - 0
MAR
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
CHO
0 - 0
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
BUE
2 - 2
CHO
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |