CD Lugo vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ALO
0 - 3
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
LUG
3 - 0
VIV
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
LEM
2 - 1
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
LUG
1 - 1
ACF
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
GRA
2 - 3
LUG
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CHO
7 - 0
SAN
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHO
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
CHO
2 - 1
ARO
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
ATO
0 - 1
CHO
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
CHO
3 - 3
DEP
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |