CD Lugo vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ZEL
1 - 2
LUG
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LUG
5 - 0
COX
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
LUG
8 - 1
DEP
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
RCF
3 - 0
LUG
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
LUG
2 - 3
GRA
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CHO
3 - 1
ORD
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHO
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 1
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
CHO
3 - 3
ACF
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
CEL
3 - 0
CHO
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |