CD Lugo vs Cerro de Reyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
LUG
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
PON
2 - 3
LUG
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
EXT
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
ULP
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 3
LUG
46%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro de Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CER
0 - 0
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
CER
1 - 3
LEG
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ALC
4 - 1
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CER
2 - 0
ATB
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
UBC
3 - 0
CER
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |