CD Lugo vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
OVA
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
COX
2 - 0
LUG
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
NAR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 1
LUG
20%
26%
54%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 0
ARO
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CEL
3 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
OVA
0 - 4
CEL
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
VIV
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
COX
2 - 0
CEL
52%
25%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |