CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
LUG
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CFP
1 - 1
LUG
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
MIR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LUG
4 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 0
COM
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RCF
1 - 2
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CDG
1 - 0
CEL
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SES
0 - 0
CEL
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |