CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ASP
0 - 3
LUG
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
LUG
2 - 1
ORD
93%
6%
2%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ATO
2 - 1
LUG
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
LUG
3 - 0
GRA
81%
13%
7%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
BET
1 - 2
LUG
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
CEL
4 - 1
ACF
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ALO
0 - 0
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ARO
1 - 0
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
CEL
3 - 0
ASP
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ORD
5 - 3
CEL
27%
27%
47%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |