CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
CDO
3 - 0
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
LUG
0 - 0
ATO
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
BET
0 - 2
LUG
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LUG
7 - 1
ARE
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
LUG
8 - 0
BOU
83%
12%
6%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
CEL
0 - 2
ATO
26%
28%
46%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ALO
3 - 3
CEL
65%
19%
15%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
CEL
0 - 1
BOU
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
COM
4 - 2
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
CEL
3 - 4
ARO
51%
24%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |