CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 0
LUG
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALO
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
COX
1 - 2
LUG
31%
26%
44%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
LUG
1 - 4
RCF
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
DEP
0 - 1
LUG
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
CEL
3 - 0
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ARO
3 - 2
CEL
35%
26%
40%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
CEL
3 - 1
ASP
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ACF
0 - 0
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
CEL
2 - 1
FOZ
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |