CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
LUG
12 - 1
FOZ
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
VIV
0 - 0
LUG
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
LUG
4 - 0
COX
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ALO
1 - 1
LUG
36%
25%
40%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
LUG
4 - 1
ZEL
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
CEL
4 - 0
VIV
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
COX
1 - 2
CEL
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
CEL
1 - 1
ALO
62%
20%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ZEL
1 - 0
CEL
58%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
CEL
2 - 1
ACF
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |