CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
JUV
1 - 2
LUG
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
LUG
3 - 3
PON
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
LUG
1 - 1
ACF
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
COX
0 - 3
LUG
67%
17%
15%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
LUG
1 - 0
JUV
79%
13%
9%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
CEL
4 - 3
COX
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
ARO
1 - 0
CEL
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CEL
3 - 3
ZEL
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
GRA
0 - 2
CEL
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
PON
0 - 6
CEL
20%
23%
58%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |