CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
VIV
2 - 6
LUG
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
LUG
5 - 0
CAM
83%
11%
7%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
FLA
2 - 1
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
JUV
0 - 0
LUG
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
LUG
1 - 0
ORD
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CEL
4 - 1
ARO
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
PON
2 - 0
CEL
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
CEL
4 - 2
DEP
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
CEL
1 - 0
PON
89%
7%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ZEL
0 - 2
CEL
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |