CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
CAM
1 - 2
LUG
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
LUG
3 - 0
ARO
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
DEP
2 - 2
LUG
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LUG
1 - 0
JUV
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
PON
1 - 2
LUG
58%
21%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
CEL
5 - 0
ARO
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
JUV
2 - 4
CEL
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
CEL
5 - 0
ORD
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
CDO
0 - 0
CEL
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
CEL
5 - 0
FLA
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |