CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
FLA
0 - 0
LUG
64%
18%
17%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ORD
0 - 0
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
LUG
3 - 1
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
LUG
2 - 0
JUV
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
RIB
1 - 3
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
CEL
5 - 0
MAR
79%
12%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
JUV
2 - 1
CEL
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
CEL
5 - 0
BET
89%
7%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
CEL
4 - 0
RIB
89%
8%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
LEM
0 - 1
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |