CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
DEP
8 - 1
LUG
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
LUG
1 - 4
ACF
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
LEM
2 - 0
LUG
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
LUG
1 - 2
PON
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
LUG
2 - 1
JUV
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 1
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
BET
0 - 3
CEL
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
CEL
0 - 0
CDO
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
PON
0 - 0
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
PON
3 - 1
CEL
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |