CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CDO
6 - 2
LUG
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
LUG
1 - 1
DEP
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
MAR
5 - 0
LUG
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -3 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAL
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
VAL
4 - 1
LUG
63%
19%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CEL
7 - 2
LEM
83%
11%
7%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
SAN
2 - 2
CEL
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
CEL
3 - 3
PON
73%
15%
13%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
CEL
2 - 1
CDO
71%
16%
14%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
RAC
3 - 2
CEL
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |