CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
CDO
1 - 1
LUG
63%
18%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
LUG
2 - 1
RAC
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ACF
2 - 2
LUG
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
LUG
3 - 1
PON
87%
9%
5%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
CEL
2 - 1
LEO
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
TUR
2 - 2
CEL
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CEL
3 - 1
SAN
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
SMA
1 - 2
CEL
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
CEL
4 - 1
GAF
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |