CD Lugo vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 1
LUG
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LUG
4 - 0
SSR
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RVB
2 - 2
LUG
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
COX
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 1
CDT
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 0
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 1
CDT
49%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 0
CDT
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 3
CDT
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 0
SSR
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |